River Plate vs Caiquetio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
10.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DAK
2 - 1
RIV
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ASF
0 - 5
RIV
61%
18%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIV
6 - 0
BUB
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
RIV
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
RIV
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caiquetio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SVC
1 - 3
ASF
27%
21%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 0
SVC
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVC
0 - 4
BRI
21%
19%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
SVC
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SVC
1 - 0
SVS
26%
20%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |