ROAC vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
ROA
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ROA
2 - 0
OLY
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VVH
2 - 0
VUC
6%
12%
82%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VUC
0 - 2
DEL
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
VOC
1 - 0
VUC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
VUC
4 - 0
SVD
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ZWE
2 - 5
VUC
11%
16%
73%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |