ROAC vs Hillegom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SDZ
0 - 0
ROA
84%
10%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROA
1 - 0
LEG
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VUC
0 - 0
ROA
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 1
VLI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HIL
1 - 5
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SVH
1 - 2
HIL
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HIL
3 - 2
UIT
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DSO
3 - 4
HIL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
HIL
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |