ROAC vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
ROA
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 2
LSV
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
UIT
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SDZ
2 - 1
ROA
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AGB
6 - 0
ROA
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FWO
2 - 1
VVK
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
KAM
1 - 1
FWO
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 5
LSV
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LEG
3 - 2
FWO
23%
22%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FWO
2 - 1
SVH
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |