SV Preußen Reinfeld vs Hohenwestedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
14º
7º
31
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ECK
1 - 1
PRR
50%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
PRR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 3
UNI
13%
15%
72%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
PRR
52%
20%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
1 - 5
FLE
14%
16%
70%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HOH
2 - 1
ITK
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TOD
7 - 1
HOH
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 1
HOH
69%
16%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEF
1 - 5
HOH
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOH
1 - 4
NOR
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |