Penk vs UFC Maria Alm analysis

Penk UFC Maria Alm
13 ELO 17
-2.8% Tilt 1.7%
35500º General ELO ranking 30927º
550º Country ELO ranking 443º
ELO win probability
22.9%
Penk
24%
Draw
53.1%
UFC Maria Alm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
Penk
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.1%
Win probability
UFC Maria Alm
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Penk
UFC Maria Alm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penk
Penk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2010
WAC
WAC Sankt Andrä II
1 - 1
Penk
SVP
84%
11%
5%
11 21 10 0
20 Mar. 2010
SVP
Penk
0 - 0
St. Michael
MIC
20%
23%
58%
11 18 7 0
06 Nov. 2009
SPI
Spittal
1 - 1
Penk
SVP
82%
12%
6%
10 21 11 +1
31 Oct. 2009
FEL
Feldkirchen
2 - 1
Penk
SVP
85%
10%
5%
10 29 19 0
26 Oct. 2009
SVP
Penk
0 - 2
SV Villach
SVV
14%
19%
67%
10 21 11 0

Matches

UFC Maria Alm
UFC Maria Alm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2010
UMA
UFC Maria Alm
2 - 0
Rapid Lienz
RAP
25%
25%
50%
17 23 6 0
20 Mar. 2010
VOL
Völkermarkt
3 - 1
UFC Maria Alm
UMA
57%
22%
21%
18 19 1 -1
07 Nov. 2009
UMA
UFC Maria Alm
0 - 1
Lendorf
LEN
33%
26%
41%
18 21 3 0
31 Oct. 2009
UMA
UFC Maria Alm
0 - 0
Treibach
TRE
27%
25%
48%
18 24 6 0
26 Oct. 2009
BLE
Bleiburg
1 - 1
UFC Maria Alm
UMA
62%
21%
17%
17 21 4 +1