Penk vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 2
WAC
16%
22%
61%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 0
SVP
71%
18%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 2
SPI
13%
21%
66%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAP
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 3
TRE
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 0
TRE
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |