Penk vs SV Villach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SKA
3 - 1
SVP
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
4 - 1
SAS
26%
24%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 0
SVP
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 1
WOL
23%
24%
53%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 4
BLE
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 4
RAP
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 2
SVV
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SVV
0 - 1
LEN
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
TRE
3 - 1
SVV
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SVV
0 - 0
UMA
76%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |