Penk vs Sittersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 0
SVP
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 1
WOL
23%
24%
53%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 4
BLE
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
8 - 1
SVP
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 1
VOL
15%
22%
63%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sittersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 2
RAP
35%
26%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 0
SAS
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
4 - 0
LEN
23%
25%
53%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TRE
5 - 0
SAS
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 2
UMA
47%
25%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |