Penk vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
SVP
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
SVP
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 2
SVV
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SKA
3 - 1
SVP
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
4 - 1
SAS
26%
24%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 2
RAP
31%
25%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 0
VOL
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
MIC
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
TRE
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UMA
0 - 0
MIC
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |