Penk vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
WEL
5 - 0
SPI
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
WAC
26%
27%
47%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
FCB
8 - 0
SPI
63%
22%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 3
HAR
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
VEI
4 - 1
SPI
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |