Penk vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VOL
3 - 2
SVP
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SVP
2 - 1
LEN
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 0
SVP
78%
15%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SVP
2 - 0
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WAC
1 - 1
SVP
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 1
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 1
VOL
55%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LEN
5 - 0
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 0
TRE
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 0
RAP
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |