Penk vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
8 - 1
SVP
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 1
VOL
15%
22%
63%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
4 - 2
SVP
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
UMA
2 - 1
SVP
63%
20%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 1
TRE
15%
22%
63%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BLE
4 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
BLE
1 - 1
FEL
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
BLE
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 3
BLE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BLE
2 - 2
SVV
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |