SV Orion vs LONGA '30 analysis


45	ELO	38
-2.1%	Tilt	-9.5%
6698º	General ELO ranking	20312º
119º	Country ELO ranking	223º
ELO win probability

58.3%

SV Orion

21.8%

Draw

19.9%

LONGA '30

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

58.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%

21.8%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

10.2%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

21.8%

19.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+42%

-9%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

40

1º

11º

46

1º

10º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	66	69	1º	100%
2º	54	54	2º	100%
3º	50	50	3º	100%
6º	45	48	4º	100%
4º	46	47	5º	100%
8º	43	46	6º	21.5%
5º	45	45	7º	21.5%
10º	42	45	8º	0%
9º	43	45	9º	0%
7º	44	44	10º	43.5%
11º	40	44	11º	43.5%
12º	36	39	12º	100%
13º	34	37	13º	100%
14º	26	26	14º	100%
15º	24	24	15º	100%
16º	10	10	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Orion

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Dec. 2022	ORI 3 - 2 RKZ 83% 12% 5%	44	24	20	0
04 Dec. 2022	AWC 4 - 1 ORI 47% 25% 29%	46	44	2	-2
27 Nov. 2022	MEE 2 - 2 ORI 37% 27% 36%	46	42	4	0
13 Nov. 2022	HVC 0 - 1 ORI 34% 26% 40%	45	39	6	+1
06 Nov. 2022	ORI 4 - 3 MOE 71% 18% 11%	45	32	13	0

Matches

LONGA '30

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Dec. 2022	LON 2 - 0 AWC 23% 23% 55%	36	45	9	0
04 Dec. 2022	EVV 1 - 2 LON 54% 22% 25%	35	41	6	+1
27 Nov. 2022	LON 3 - 0 MOE 56% 21% 24%	34	30	4	+1
20 Nov. 2022	HOO 4 - 3 LON 59% 20% 21%	34	40	6	0
13 Nov. 2022	LON 4 - 1 UNI 40% 21% 39%	32	35	3	+2