SV Orion vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
10º
57
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RKV
3 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 4
HVC
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
ORI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 7
ORI
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 3
MEE
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DON
6 - 0
EVV
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 2
DON
29%
22%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 3
DON
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
DON
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |