MZC '11 vs LRC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
81.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MZC '11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WNC
6 - 1
MZC
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MZC
1 - 2
ORA
6%
12%
83%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OMA
2 - 2
MZC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MZC
1 - 1
HEI
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MZC
0 - 3
KLO
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
LRC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 1
LRC
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ZUI
2 - 1
LRC
44%
22%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LRC
1 - 3
GRC
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ORA
3 - 2
LRC
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LRC
3 - 1
WNC
44%
22%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |