MZC '11 vs Almkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MZC '11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 2
MZC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MZC
2 - 1
RIJ
4%
9%
88%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ZUI
2 - 0
MZC
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MZC
4 - 6
GRC
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SHO
4 - 1
MZC
94%
4%
1%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Almkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRC
2 - 3
ALM
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 3
WNC
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SHO
0 - 2
ALM
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 4
NIE
27%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VVG
2 - 1
ALM
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |