SV Mesum vs FC Nordkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Mesum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 2
SVM
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SVM
1 - 1
SVG
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SGB
4 - 2
SVM
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVM
0 - 3
TUS
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
5 - 1
SVM
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
FC Nordkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
4 - 0
TUS
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SCV
2 - 3
FCN
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
SVR
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 0
FCN
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
SCM
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |