Mayrhofen vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
48.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
16º
11º
43
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mayrhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 1
SVM
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
4 - 0
KEM
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
SVM
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
1 - 0
VOL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 4
SVM
77%
17%
7%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 2
FCK
70%
15%
14%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
5 - 0
SCM
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 3
IAC
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
SCM
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 2
EBB
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |