Marvilde vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marvilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOP
3 - 4
SVM
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SVM
1 - 4
TIL
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NEM
2 - 0
SVM
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SVM
2 - 3
MOC
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCN
6 - 1
SVM
69%
16%
14%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GOE
2 - 1
BEE
85%
10%
6%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TZA
1 - 2
GOE
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GOE
1 - 1
AWC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HVC
1 - 2
GOE
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GOE
1 - 1
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |