SV Lurup vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
LUB
1 - 0
SVL
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SVL
1 - 3
VFB
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
HEE
5 - 2
SVL
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
OBE
2 - 0
SVL
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SVL
2 - 3
OSS
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
STP
1 - 1
OBE
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
OSS
1 - 2
STP
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
STP
2 - 3
CLO
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
HUL
1 - 3
STP
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
STP
1 - 0
WSV
20%
24%
57%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |