Ludesch vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
14º
59
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LUS
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
LUD
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 1
LUD
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 0
AND
23%
20%
58%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIZ
3 - 2
LUD
80%
12%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BEZ
3 - 1
LOC
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 2
AUS
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 1
LUS
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
LOC
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
4 - 1
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |