Ludesch vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
10º
33
9º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 0
LUD
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 3
LUS
17%
20%
64%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 2
LUD
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUD
4 - 0
KBL
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 3
LUD
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 3
ADM
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
HAR
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
EGG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
EGG
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
HAR
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |