Lochau vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
55
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
LOC
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 1
BIZ
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KBL
4 - 5
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCH
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HIT
0 - 4
LOC
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NEN
5 - 3
BRE
92%
6%
2%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NEN
2 - 0
AND
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BIZ
2 - 5
NEN
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NEN
3 - 5
KBL
85%
9%
5%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 1
NEN
26%
20%
55%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |