Lochau vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
49
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
LOC
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
4 - 1
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 2
LOC
38%
21%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
5 - 1
AND
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
BIZ
2 - 4
LOC
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 3
NEN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BIZ
2 - 1
LUS
31%
22%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 2
KBL
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 1
LUS
19%
19%
63%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
HIT
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |