Lochau vs FC Hörbranz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
17.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
56
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
HIT
0 - 4
LOC
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 0
LOC
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
3 - 0
SCF
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 4
LOC
16%
18%
67%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 1
NEN
26%
20%
55%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
FCH
45%
21%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 0
BIZ
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KBL
0 - 1
FCH
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
FCH
18%
19%
64%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |