Linx vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
LIN
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
WEI
2 - 0
LIN
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
KIR
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 0
LIN
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 2
BAH
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 3
KIR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
FRE
56%
22%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
4 - 0
FRE
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
BAH
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AST
0 - 1
FRE
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |