Leones vs Columbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
11º
10º
10
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
86% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WOE
0 - 2
SVL
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 1
TOP
26%
20%
55%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDO
5 - 1
SVL
40%
22%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SVL
3 - 0
WOE
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 1
SVL
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Columbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVV
1 - 3
MAS
55%
20%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WSV
2 - 1
AVV
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVV
2 - 2
RKH
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
AVV
3 - 3
MAS
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RKH
0 - 1
AVV
53%
20%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |