Lafnitz II vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
11º
7º
38
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 5
LAF
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 3
UGA
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 2
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVF
1 - 0
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HGK
3 - 1
FUR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VOI
2 - 1
HGK
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HGK
3 - 6
ILZ
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GNA
2 - 0
HGK
22%
21%
58%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HGK
0 - 0
MET
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |