Lafnitz II vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
48
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 1
LAF
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 2
LAF
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 4
LAF
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
9 - 0
LAF
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ANN
4 - 0
LAF
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 1
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 3
TSH
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
5 - 2
ALL
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
0 - 0
TSH
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 6
TSH
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |