Lafnitz II vs SV Tillmitsch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
51
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 2
LAF
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 0
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
5 - 1
LAF
19%
19%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 3
HGK
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 3
UGA
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 1
KIN
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
SVT
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SVT
3 - 0
ALL
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ILZ
2 - 1
SVT
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 0
KAL
38%
22%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |