Lafnitz II vs SV Tillmitsch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
15º
5º
55
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
LAF
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 2
FCS
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 1
LAF
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 0
HGK
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GNA
3 - 4
LAF
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 2
FEH
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 2
SVT
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 2
TSH
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 4
SVT
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 0
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |