Lafnitz II vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
44
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
3 - 1
LAF
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAF
1 - 4
TSH
43%
21%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 1
LAF
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 2
LAF
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 4
LAF
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
3 - 2
KIN
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
FEH
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
2 - 1
ALL
35%
22%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
4 - 0
FEH
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 4
ILZ
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |