Lafnitz II vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
11º
7º
49
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
JUD
1 - 4
LAF
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
LAF
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 2
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HGK
4 - 0
LAF
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 3
LAF
31%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 0
FUR
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VOI
3 - 0
FEH
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 0
ILZ
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GNA
0 - 4
FEH
44%
21%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 0
MET
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |