Lafnitz II vs Judenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.6%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
11º
7º
15
15º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
2 - 0
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LAF
2 - 1
HGK
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 5
LAF
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 3
UGA
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 2
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Judenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
JUD
1 - 4
FUR
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VOI
4 - 0
JUD
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
JUD
2 - 3
ILZ
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GNA
2 - 1
JUD
91%
7%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
JUD
1 - 6
MET
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |