Lafnitz II vs Allerheiligen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
53
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 3
GDF
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 2
ADM
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 1
LJU
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 1
ILZ
28%
23%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
LAF
69%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Allerheiligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UNT
2 - 3
ALL
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ANN
2 - 1
ALL
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
ALL
13%
16%
71%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
FCS
73%
15%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
KOF
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |