La Fama vs SV Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
2º
1º
4
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 6
FAM
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
FAM
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FAM
3 - 4
DAK
22%
21%
56%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 1
FAM
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 6
DAK
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SV Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 6
FAM
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 1
SVU
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SVE
0 - 5
ASF
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
SVE
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
SVE
4 - 2
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |