La Fama vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
FAM
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FAM
8 - 1
SVR
87%
9%
5%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
8 - 1
ASF
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SVB
1 - 4
FAM
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
FAM
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SVU
1 - 4
EST
23%
19%
58%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
6 - 3
EST
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 4
BRI
32%
21%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DAK
7 - 1
EST
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |