La Fama vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 0
FAM
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 1
FAM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FAM
6 - 0
SVE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 7
FAM
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 1
RCA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 4
EST
21%
22%
56%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
EST
0 - 2
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
SVJ
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EST
1 - 4
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |