La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
FAM
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 3
DAK
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RCA
3 - 0
FAM
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
FAM
50%
20%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
12 - 0
UFC
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 2
NAC
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
7 - 1
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 1
BRI
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
RCA
1 - 0
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |