La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 8
FAM
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
FAM
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAM
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
FAM
4 - 0
SVU
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
FAM
49%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
ASF
6 - 2
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
9 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
BUB
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUB
4 - 1
CAR
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
3 - 2
CAR
8%
12%
81%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |