La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
FAM
6 - 4
EST
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 0
BRI
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
RCA
7 - 0
FAM
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
4 - 2
BRI
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SNI
1 - 2
FAM
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 0
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
NAC
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAC
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +6 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAR
60%
18%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRI
8%
13%
78%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +3 |