Kraig vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
81.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 0
SVK
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
KMD
3 - 0
SVK
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LEN
3 - 0
SVK
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SVK
1 - 1
VOL
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
KLA
2 - 0
SVK
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
TRE
5 - 0
VOL
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 0
SVJ
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPI
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
DIG
1 - 1
TRE
41%
20%
39%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TRE
3 - 1
BLE
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |