Kraig vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
WOL
5 - 1
SVK
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 6
MSA
8%
13%
79%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SVJ
4 - 0
SVK
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 5
FLC
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
LEN
3 - 0
SVK
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 0
ANB
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
VOL
3 - 1
TRE
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 0
BLE
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
FEL
2 - 2
TRE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 1
SPI
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |