Kraig vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SVK
1 - 2
GMD
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MSA
6 - 0
SVK
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SVK
0 - 2
FLC
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SVJ
3 - 0
SVK
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SVK
3 - 2
SPI
17%
19%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIC
1 - 1
MSA
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FLC
0 - 2
MIC
62%
19%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MIC
1 - 0
SVJ
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 2
MIC
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MIC
2 - 2
DIG
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |