Kraig vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
SVK
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SVK
3 - 0
GMD
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SVK
4 - 2
KAC
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SVK
2 - 2
MSA
41%
21%
37%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
KMD
0 - 0
SVK
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 0
STA
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 3
KAC
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
KMD
1 - 0
FLC
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
MSA
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BLE
2 - 1
FLC
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |