Kraig vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
15º
15º
41
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DON
3 - 1
SVK
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 3
SCL
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SVK
1 - 3
WOL
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ATV
2 - 0
SVK
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 0
LEN
30%
23%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BLE
2 - 0
ATV
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
BLE
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BLE
2 - 0
KAC
47%
24%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 2
BLE
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BLE
1 - 1
KMD
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |