SV Innsbruck vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
7%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
16º
16º
43
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KIR
0 - 2
SVI
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
2 - 0
SVI
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVI
0 - 2
STJ
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
5 - 1
SVI
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVI
1 - 1
WIN
3%
11%
86%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCM
1 - 3
FCV
66%
17%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
6 - 2
WBO
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
3 - 5
SCM
31%
21%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 2
FCK
70%
15%
14%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
5 - 0
SCM
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |