Horn vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
2 - 3
FCW
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
FCW
1 - 0
SVH
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NEU
4 - 1
SVH
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SVH
2 - 0
MAT
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 3
GAF
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GAF
2 - 1
WUR
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
FCW
4 - 1
WUR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 2
WIE
26%
23%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 0
WUR
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |