Horn vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
SVH
2 - 0
KAP
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 0
SVH
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 2
SVH
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SVH
1 - 0
VIE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 2
SVH
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 0
ALT
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
LAS
2 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
GRO
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 3
GRO
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
KAP
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |